Saturday 10 September 2016, 14:30
Old Trafford
Full time
60%
26%
14%
Home win
59.5%
Draw
26.0%
Away win
14.5%
Provisional One or both sides have too little top-flight history for the model to have a settled opinion. These numbers will move as matches are played.
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Manchester United | 59.5% | 1.68 | — | — |
| Draw | 26.0% | 3.85 | — | — |
| Manchester City | 14.5% | 6.90 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 89.0% | 1.12 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 11.0% | 9.09 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 66.9% | 1.50 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 33.1% | 3.02 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 39.6% | 2.53 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 60.4% | 1.66 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 19.4% | 5.14 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 80.6% | 1.24 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 8.0% | 12.46 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 92.0% | 1.09 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 39.4% | 2.54 | — | — |
| No | 60.6% | 1.65 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Manchester United / Draw | 85.5% | 1.17 | — | — |
| Manchester United / Manchester City | 74.0% | 1.35 | — | — |
| Draw / Manchester City | 40.5% | 2.47 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
11.0
|
6.2
|
2.3
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 1 |
15.9
|
11.7
|
3.6
|
0.8
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 2 |
13.3
|
8.8
|
2.9
|
0.6
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 3 |
7.1
|
4.7
|
1.6
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
2.9
|
1.9
|
0.6
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.9
|
0.6
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Jan 2026
Manchester United
2-0
Manchester City
Sep 2025
Manchester City
3-0
Manchester United
Apr 2025
Manchester United
0-0
Manchester City
Dec 2024
Manchester City
1-2
Manchester United
Mar 2024
Manchester City
3-1
Manchester United
Oct 2023
Manchester United
0-3
Manchester City
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.