Saturday 24 September 2016, 17:00
Liberty Stadium
Full time
16%
22%
62%
Home win
16.3%
Draw
21.7%
Away win
62.0%
Provisional One or both sides have too little top-flight history for the model to have a settled opinion. These numbers will move as matches are played.
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Swansea | 16.3% | 6.13 | — | — |
| Draw | 21.7% | 4.61 | — | — |
| Manchester City | 62.0% | 1.61 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 94.6% | 1.06 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 5.4% | 18.44 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 81.1% | 1.23 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 18.9% | 5.28 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 58.3% | 1.72 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 41.7% | 2.40 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 35.9% | 2.79 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 64.1% | 1.56 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 18.9% | 5.28 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 81.1% | 1.23 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 54.7% | 1.83 | — | — |
| No | 45.3% | 2.21 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Swansea / Draw | 38.0% | 2.63 | — | — |
| Swansea / Manchester City | 78.3% | 1.28 | — | — |
| Draw / Manchester City | 83.7% | 1.20 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
5.4
|
9.4
|
10.3
|
7.1
|
3.6
|
1.5
|
| 1 |
4.1
|
10.2
|
9.9
|
6.8
|
3.5
|
1.4
|
| 2 |
2.3
|
4.7
|
4.8
|
3.3
|
1.7
|
0.7
|
| 3 |
0.7
|
1.5
|
1.6
|
1.1
|
0.5
|
0.2
|
| 4 |
0.2
|
0.4
|
0.4
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.1
|
| 5 |
0.0
|
0.1
|
0.1
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Apr 2018
Manchester City
5-0
Swansea
Dec 2017
Swansea
0-4
Manchester City
Feb 2017
Manchester City
2-1
Swansea
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.