Wednesday 13 December 2017, 21:45
Liberty Stadium
Full time
11%
19%
69%
Home win
11.3%
Draw
19.2%
Away win
69.5%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Swansea | 11.3% | 8.83 | — | — |
| Draw | 19.2% | 5.21 | — | — |
| Manchester City | 69.5% | 1.44 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 94.6% | 1.06 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 5.4% | 18.46 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 80.8% | 1.24 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 19.2% | 5.22 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 58.0% | 1.72 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 42.0% | 2.38 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 35.6% | 2.81 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 64.4% | 1.55 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 18.7% | 5.34 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 81.3% | 1.23 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 49.3% | 2.03 | — | — |
| No | 50.7% | 1.97 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Swansea / Draw | 30.5% | 3.28 | — | — |
| Swansea / Manchester City | 80.8% | 1.24 | — | — |
| Draw / Manchester City | 88.7% | 1.13 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
5.4
|
10.4
|
12.1
|
9.0
|
5.0
|
2.2
|
| 1 |
3.4
|
9.1
|
9.6
|
7.1
|
4.0
|
1.8
|
| 2 |
1.5
|
3.4
|
3.8
|
2.8
|
1.6
|
0.7
|
| 3 |
0.4
|
0.9
|
1.0
|
0.7
|
0.4
|
0.2
|
| 4 |
0.1
|
0.2
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Apr 2018
Manchester City
5-0
Swansea
Feb 2017
Manchester City
2-1
Swansea
Sep 2016
Swansea
1-3
Manchester City
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.