Wednesday 29 November 2017, 21:45
Stamford Bridge
Full time
82%
13%
5%
Home win
81.8%
Draw
13.0%
Away win
5.2%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chelsea | 81.8% | 1.22 | — | — |
| Draw | 13.0% | 7.68 | — | — |
| Swansea | 5.2% | 19.30 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 95.9% | 1.04 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 4.1% | 24.16 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 84.2% | 1.19 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 15.8% | 6.31 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 63.5% | 1.57 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 36.5% | 2.74 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 41.4% | 2.42 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 58.6% | 1.71 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 23.3% | 4.30 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 76.8% | 1.30 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 41.0% | 2.44 | — | — |
| No | 59.0% | 1.69 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chelsea / Draw | 94.8% | 1.05 | — | — |
| Chelsea / Swansea | 87.0% | 1.15 | — | — |
| Draw / Swansea | 18.2% | 5.49 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
4.1
|
1.8
|
0.6
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 1 |
9.9
|
6.2
|
1.7
|
0.3
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 2 |
13.8
|
7.9
|
2.3
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 3 |
12.5
|
7.1
|
2.0
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
8.4
|
4.8
|
1.4
|
0.3
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
4.5
|
2.6
|
0.7
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.