Saturday 28 October 2017, 17:00
Emirates Stadium
Full time
73%
17%
10%
Home win
73.1%
Draw
16.8%
Away win
10.1%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arsenal | 73.1% | 1.37 | — | — |
| Draw | 16.8% | 5.94 | — | — |
| Swansea | 10.1% | 9.90 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 96.0% | 1.04 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 4.0% | 25.23 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 85.2% | 1.17 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 14.8% | 6.74 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 65.0% | 1.54 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 35.0% | 2.86 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 43.0% | 2.33 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 57.0% | 1.75 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 24.6% | 4.06 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 75.4% | 1.33 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 52.8% | 1.89 | — | — |
| No | 47.2% | 2.12 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arsenal / Draw | 89.9% | 1.11 | — | — |
| Arsenal / Swansea | 83.2% | 1.20 | — | — |
| Draw / Swansea | 26.9% | 3.71 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
4.0
|
2.5
|
1.3
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 1 |
8.4
|
7.9
|
3.1
|
0.9
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 2 |
11.0
|
9.3
|
3.9
|
1.1
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 3 |
9.2
|
7.8
|
3.3
|
0.9
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
5.8
|
4.9
|
2.1
|
0.6
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
2.9
|
2.4
|
1.0
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.