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Saturday 28 October 2017, 17:00 Emirates Stadium Full time
2–1
HT 0–1
73% 17% 10%
Home win
73.1%
Draw
16.8%
Away win
10.1%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Arsenal 73.1% 1.37
Draw 16.8% 5.94
Swansea 10.1% 9.90

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 96.0% 1.04
Under 0.5 4.0% 25.23
Over 1.5 85.2% 1.17
Under 1.5 14.8% 6.74
Over 2.5 65.0% 1.54
Under 2.5 35.0% 2.86
Over 3.5 43.0% 2.33
Under 3.5 57.0% 1.75
Over 4.5 24.6% 4.06
Under 4.5 75.4% 1.33

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 52.8% 1.89
No 47.2% 2.12

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Arsenal / Draw 89.9% 1.11
Arsenal / Swansea 83.2% 1.20
Draw / Swansea 26.9% 3.71

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
4.0
2.5
1.3
0.4
0.1
0.0
1
8.4
7.9
3.1
0.9
0.2
0.0
2
11.0
9.3
3.9
1.1
0.2
0.0
3
9.2
7.8
3.3
0.9
0.2
0.0
4
5.8
4.9
2.1
0.6
0.1
0.0
5
2.9
2.4
1.0
0.3
0.1
0.0
Rows: Arsenal goals. Columns: Swansea goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.