Saturday 23 September 2017, 17:00
Liberty Stadium
Full time
48%
26%
26%
Home win
47.9%
Draw
26.0%
Away win
26.1%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Swansea | 47.9% | 2.09 | — | — |
| Draw | 26.0% | 3.84 | — | — |
| Watford | 26.1% | 3.83 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 93.0% | 1.08 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 7.0% | 14.31 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 77.0% | 1.30 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 23.0% | 4.35 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 52.2% | 1.91 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 47.8% | 2.09 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 30.1% | 3.33 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 69.9% | 1.43 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 14.7% | 6.80 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 85.3% | 1.17 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 55.4% | 1.81 | — | — |
| No | 44.6% | 2.24 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Swansea / Draw | 73.9% | 1.35 | — | — |
| Swansea / Watford | 74.0% | 1.35 | — | — |
| Draw / Watford | 52.1% | 1.92 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
7.0
|
6.5
|
4.1
|
1.6
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
| 1 |
9.5
|
12.4
|
6.7
|
2.5
|
0.7
|
0.2
|
| 2 |
8.3
|
9.5
|
5.4
|
2.1
|
0.6
|
0.1
|
| 3 |
4.5
|
5.1
|
2.9
|
1.1
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
| 4 |
1.8
|
2.1
|
1.2
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.6
|
0.7
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.