Saturday 26 August 2017, 17:00
Vicarage Road
Full time
46%
29%
25%
Home win
45.6%
Draw
29.3%
Away win
25.1%
Provisional One or both sides have too little top-flight history for the model to have a settled opinion. These numbers will move as matches are played.
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Watford | 45.6% | 2.19 | — | — |
| Draw | 29.3% | 3.42 | — | — |
| Brighton | 25.1% | 3.98 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 89.0% | 1.12 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 11.0% | 9.07 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 67.2% | 1.49 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 32.8% | 3.05 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 39.8% | 2.51 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 60.2% | 1.66 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 19.6% | 5.10 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 80.4% | 1.24 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 8.1% | 12.32 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 91.9% | 1.09 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 45.6% | 2.19 | — | — |
| No | 54.4% | 1.84 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Watford / Draw | 74.9% | 1.34 | — | — |
| Watford / Brighton | 70.7% | 1.41 | — | — |
| Draw / Brighton | 54.4% | 1.84 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
11.0
|
8.8
|
4.4
|
1.4
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
| 1 |
13.0
|
13.6
|
6.0
|
1.9
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
| 2 |
9.3
|
8.7
|
4.0
|
1.3
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
| 3 |
4.2
|
3.9
|
1.8
|
0.6
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
1.4
|
1.3
|
0.6
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.4
|
0.4
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Feb 2022
Watford
0-2
Brighton
Aug 2021
Brighton
2-0
Watford
Feb 2020
Brighton
1-1
Watford
Aug 2019
Watford
0-3
Brighton
Feb 2019
Brighton
0-0
Watford
Aug 2018
Watford
2-0
Brighton
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.