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Saturday 19 August 2017, 17:00 King Power Stadium Full time
2–0
HT 1–0
47% 27% 27%
Home win
46.5%
Draw
26.9%
Away win
26.6%

Provisional One or both sides have too little top-flight history for the model to have a settled opinion. These numbers will move as matches are played.

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Leicester 46.5% 2.15
Draw 26.9% 3.72
Brighton 26.6% 3.76

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 92.1% 1.09
Under 0.5 7.9% 12.70
Over 1.5 74.7% 1.34
Under 1.5 25.3% 3.96
Over 2.5 49.1% 2.04
Under 2.5 50.9% 1.97
Over 3.5 27.2% 3.67
Under 3.5 72.8% 1.37
Over 4.5 12.8% 7.81
Under 4.5 87.2% 1.15

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 53.2% 1.88
No 46.8% 2.13

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Leicester / Draw 73.4% 1.36
Leicester / Brighton 73.1% 1.37
Draw / Brighton 53.5% 1.87

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
7.9
7.2
4.3
1.6
0.4
0.1
1
10.2
12.8
6.7
2.5
0.7
0.1
2
8.4
9.3
5.1
1.9
0.5
0.1
3
4.3
4.8
2.6
1.0
0.3
0.1
4
1.7
1.8
1.0
0.4
0.1
0.0
5
0.5
0.6
0.3
0.1
0.0
0.0
Rows: Leicester goals. Columns: Brighton goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.