Saturday 6 May 2017, 17:00
King Power Stadium
Full time
53%
25%
22%
Home win
53.5%
Draw
24.9%
Away win
21.6%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leicester | 53.5% | 1.87 | — | — |
| Draw | 24.9% | 4.02 | — | — |
| Watford | 21.6% | 4.62 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 93.2% | 1.07 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 6.8% | 14.63 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 77.3% | 1.29 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 22.7% | 4.41 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 52.7% | 1.90 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 47.3% | 2.12 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 30.5% | 3.28 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 69.5% | 1.44 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 15.0% | 6.66 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 85.0% | 1.18 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 54.0% | 1.85 | — | — |
| No | 46.0% | 2.17 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leicester / Draw | 78.4% | 1.28 | — | — |
| Leicester / Watford | 75.1% | 1.33 | — | — |
| Draw / Watford | 46.5% | 2.15 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
6.8
|
5.7
|
3.3
|
1.1
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
| 1 |
10.1
|
11.8
|
5.8
|
2.0
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
| 2 |
9.4
|
9.8
|
5.1
|
1.8
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
| 3 |
5.5
|
5.7
|
3.0
|
1.0
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
| 4 |
2.4
|
2.5
|
1.3
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.8
|
0.9
|
0.5
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
May 2022
Watford
1-5
Leicester
Nov 2021
Leicester
4-2
Watford
Jun 2020
Watford
1-1
Leicester
Dec 2019
Leicester
2-0
Watford
Mar 2019
Watford
2-1
Leicester
Dec 2018
Leicester
2-0
Watford
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.