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Saturday 22 April 2017, 17:00 KCOM Stadium Full time
2–0
HT 0–0
41% 26% 32%
Home win
41.2%
Draw
26.4%
Away win
32.4%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Hull City 41.2% 2.43
Draw 26.4% 3.79
Watford 32.4% 3.08

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 93.4% 1.07
Under 0.5 6.6% 15.20
Over 1.5 78.2% 1.28
Under 1.5 21.8% 4.58
Over 2.5 53.9% 1.86
Under 2.5 46.1% 2.17
Over 3.5 31.6% 3.17
Under 3.5 68.4% 1.46
Over 4.5 15.8% 6.34
Under 4.5 84.2% 1.19

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 57.9% 1.73
No 42.1% 2.37

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Hull City / Draw 67.6% 1.48
Hull City / Watford 73.6% 1.36
Draw / Watford 58.8% 1.70

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
6.6
7.1
5.1
2.3
0.7
0.2
1
8.2
12.5
7.8
3.4
1.1
0.3
2
6.7
8.9
5.9
2.6
0.9
0.2
3
3.4
4.5
3.0
1.3
0.4
0.1
4
1.3
1.7
1.1
0.5
0.2
0.0
5
0.4
0.5
0.3
0.1
0.0
0.0
Rows: Hull City goals. Columns: Watford goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.