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Saturday 29 October 2016, 17:00 Vicarage Road Full time
Watford
1–0
HT 0–0
Hull City
72% 17% 11%
Home win
72.2%
Draw
16.6%
Away win
11.2%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Watford 72.2% 1.39 — —
Draw 16.6% 6.04 — —
Hull City 11.2% 8.90 — —

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 96.8% 1.03 — —
Under 0.5 3.2% 31.41 — —
Over 1.5 87.7% 1.14 — —
Under 1.5 12.3% 8.16 — —
Over 2.5 69.5% 1.44 — —
Under 2.5 30.5% 3.28 — —
Over 3.5 48.2% 2.07 — —
Under 3.5 51.8% 1.93 — —
Over 4.5 29.1% 3.43 — —
Under 4.5 70.9% 1.41 — —

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 58.0% 1.72 — —
No 42.0% 2.38 — —

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Watford / Draw 88.8% 1.13 — —
Watford / Hull City 83.4% 1.20 — —
Draw / Hull City 27.8% 3.60 — —

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
3.2
2.3
1.3
0.4
0.1
0.0
1
6.8
7.4
3.4
1.1
0.3
0.1
2
9.5
9.2
4.5
1.4
0.4
0.1
3
8.3
8.0
3.9
1.3
0.3
0.1
4
5.4
5.3
2.5
0.8
0.2
0.0
5
2.8
2.8
1.3
0.4
0.1
0.0
Rows: Watford goals. Columns: Hull City goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Watford
W L D W D
Hull City
L L L L L

Head to head

Apr 2017 Hull City 2-0 Watford

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.