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Saturday 1 October 2016, 17:00 KCOM Stadium Full time
0–2
HT 0–0
37% 28% 36%
Home win
36.6%
Draw
27.5%
Away win
35.8%

Provisional One or both sides have too little top-flight history for the model to have a settled opinion. These numbers will move as matches are played.

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Hull City 36.6% 2.73
Draw 27.5% 3.63
Chelsea 35.8% 2.79

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 92.3% 1.08
Under 0.5 7.7% 12.93
Over 1.5 75.2% 1.33
Under 1.5 24.8% 4.02
Over 2.5 49.7% 2.01
Under 2.5 50.3% 1.99
Over 3.5 27.7% 3.61
Under 3.5 72.3% 1.38
Over 4.5 13.1% 7.62
Under 4.5 86.9% 1.15

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 54.9% 1.82
No 45.2% 2.21

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Hull City / Draw 64.2% 1.56
Hull City / Chelsea 72.5% 1.38
Draw / Chelsea 63.4% 1.58

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
7.7
8.5
6.1
2.7
0.9
0.2
1
8.6
13.1
8.2
3.6
1.2
0.3
2
6.3
8.3
5.5
2.4
0.8
0.2
3
2.8
3.7
2.4
1.1
0.4
0.1
4
0.9
1.2
0.8
0.4
0.1
0.0
5
0.3
0.3
0.2
0.1
0.0
0.0
Rows: Hull City goals. Columns: Chelsea goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.