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Saturday 17 September 2016, 17:00 KCOM Stadium Full time
1–4
HT 0–1
37% 28% 35%
Home win
36.9%
Draw
28.0%
Away win
35.1%

Provisional One or both sides have too little top-flight history for the model to have a settled opinion. These numbers will move as matches are played.

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Hull City 36.9% 2.71
Draw 28.0% 3.57
Arsenal 35.1% 2.85

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 91.6% 1.09
Under 0.5 8.4% 11.96
Over 1.5 73.6% 1.36
Under 1.5 26.4% 3.78
Over 2.5 47.6% 2.10
Under 2.5 52.4% 1.91
Over 3.5 25.9% 3.86
Under 3.5 74.1% 1.35
Over 4.5 11.9% 8.38
Under 4.5 88.1% 1.14

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 53.2% 1.88
No 46.8% 2.14

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Hull City / Draw 64.9% 1.54
Hull City / Arsenal 72.0% 1.39
Draw / Arsenal 63.1% 1.58

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
8.4
8.9
6.1
2.6
0.8
0.2
1
9.2
13.4
8.0
3.4
1.1
0.3
2
6.5
8.3
5.2
2.2
0.7
0.2
3
2.8
3.6
2.3
1.0
0.3
0.1
4
0.9
1.2
0.7
0.3
0.1
0.0
5
0.2
0.3
0.2
0.1
0.0
0.0
Rows: Hull City goals. Columns: Arsenal goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.