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Saturday 10 September 2016, 17:00 Turf Moor Full time
1–1
HT 0–0
16% 45% 39%
Home win
16.2%
Draw
45.0%
Away win
38.8%

Provisional One or both sides have too little top-flight history for the model to have a settled opinion. These numbers will move as matches are played.

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Burnley 16.2% 6.18
Draw 45.0% 2.22
Hull City 38.8% 2.58

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 64.8% 1.54
Under 0.5 35.2% 2.84
Over 1.5 29.1% 3.44
Under 1.5 70.9% 1.41
Over 2.5 9.1% 10.96
Under 2.5 90.9% 1.10
Over 3.5 2.3% 43.94
Under 3.5 97.7% 1.02
Over 4.5 0.5% 215.98
Under 4.5 99.5% 1.00

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 15.6% 6.39
No 84.4% 1.19

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Burnley / Draw 61.2% 1.63
Burnley / Hull City 55.0% 1.82
Draw / Hull City 83.8% 1.19

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
35.2
23.8
8.5
2.0
0.4
0.0
1
11.9
9.2
3.0
0.7
0.1
0.0
2
2.2
1.5
0.5
0.1
0.0
0.0
3
0.3
0.2
0.1
0.0
0.0
0.0
4
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
5
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: Burnley goals. Columns: Hull City goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.