Saturday 27 August 2016, 17:00
Stamford Bridge
Full time
74%
10%
15%
Home win
74.5%
Draw
10.3%
Away win
15.3%
Provisional One or both sides have too little top-flight history for the model to have a settled opinion. These numbers will move as matches are played.
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chelsea | 74.5% | 1.34 | — | — |
| Draw | 10.3% | 9.73 | — | — |
| Burnley | 15.3% | 6.55 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 99.9% | 1.00 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 0.1% | 1,960.78 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 99.8% | 1.00 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 0.2% | 458.72 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 98.9% | 1.01 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 1.1% | 88.11 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 96.4% | 1.04 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 3.6% | 27.79 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 91.3% | 1.10 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 8.7% | 11.50 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 94.2% | 1.06 | — | — |
| No | 5.8% | 17.15 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chelsea / Draw | 84.7% | 1.18 | — | — |
| Chelsea / Burnley | 89.7% | 1.11 | — | — |
| Draw / Burnley | 25.5% | 3.92 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
0.1
|
0.1
|
0.1
|
0.1
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 1 |
0.1
|
0.4
|
0.6
|
0.6
|
0.4
|
0.2
|
| 2 |
0.4
|
1.1
|
1.6
|
1.6
|
1.1
|
0.7
|
| 3 |
0.7
|
1.9
|
2.8
|
2.8
|
2.0
|
1.2
|
| 4 |
0.9
|
2.6
|
3.8
|
3.7
|
2.7
|
1.6
|
| 5 |
1.0
|
2.8
|
4.1
|
4.0
|
2.9
|
1.7
|
Form
Head to head
Feb 2026
Chelsea
1-1
Burnley
Nov 2025
Burnley
0-2
Chelsea
Mar 2024
Chelsea
2-2
Burnley
Oct 2023
Burnley
1-4
Chelsea
Mar 2022
Burnley
0-4
Chelsea
Nov 2021
Chelsea
1-1
Burnley
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.