Saturday 7 October 2023, 17:00
Turf Moor
Full time
33%
33%
33%
Home win
33.3%
Draw
33.3%
Away win
33.4%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Burnley | 33.3% | 3.00 | — | — |
| Draw | 33.3% | 3.00 | — | — |
| Chelsea | 33.4% | 2.99 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 0.0% | — | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 100.0% | 1.00 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 0.0% | — | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 100.0% | 1.00 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 0.0% | — | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 100.0% | 1.00 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 0.0% | — | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 100.0% | 1.00 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 0.0% | — | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 100.0% | 1.00 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 0.0% | — | — | — |
| No | 100.0% | 1.00 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Burnley / Draw | 66.6% | 1.50 | — | — |
| Burnley / Chelsea | 66.7% | 1.50 | — | — |
| Draw / Chelsea | 66.7% | 1.50 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 1 |
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 2 |
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 3 |
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Feb 2026
Chelsea
1-1
Burnley
Nov 2025
Burnley
0-2
Chelsea
Mar 2024
Chelsea
2-2
Burnley
Mar 2022
Burnley
0-4
Chelsea
Nov 2021
Chelsea
1-1
Burnley
Jan 2021
Chelsea
2-0
Burnley
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.