Saturday 20 August 2016, 17:00
Turf Moor
Full time
8%
61%
31%
Home win
8.2%
Draw
60.6%
Away win
31.2%
Provisional One or both sides have too little top-flight history for the model to have a settled opinion. These numbers will move as matches are played.
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Burnley | 8.2% | 12.13 | — | — |
| Draw | 60.6% | 1.65 | — | — |
| Liverpool | 31.2% | 3.20 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 43.0% | 2.33 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 57.0% | 1.75 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 11.3% | 8.88 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 88.7% | 1.13 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 2.0% | 50.38 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 98.0% | 1.02 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 0.3% | 367.65 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 99.7% | 1.00 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 0.0% | 3,333.33 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 100.0% | 1.00 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 4.6% | 21.66 | — | — |
| No | 95.4% | 1.05 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Burnley / Draw | 68.8% | 1.45 | — | — |
| Burnley / Liverpool | 39.4% | 2.53 | — | — |
| Draw / Liverpool | 91.8% | 1.09 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
57.0
|
24.3
|
5.3
|
0.8
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 1 |
7.5
|
3.5
|
0.7
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 2 |
0.5
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 3 |
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Jan 2026
Liverpool
1-1
Burnley
Sep 2025
Burnley
0-1
Liverpool
Feb 2024
Liverpool
3-1
Burnley
Dec 2023
Burnley
0-2
Liverpool
Feb 2022
Burnley
0-1
Liverpool
Aug 2021
Liverpool
2-0
Burnley
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.