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Saturday 20 August 2016, 19:30 King Power Stadium Full time
0–0
HT 0–0
35% 57% 8%
Home win
34.8%
Draw
56.7%
Away win
8.5%

Provisional One or both sides have too little top-flight history for the model to have a settled opinion. These numbers will move as matches are played.

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Leicester 34.8% 2.87
Draw 56.7% 1.76
Arsenal 8.5% 11.78

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 47.5% 2.10
Under 0.5 52.5% 1.91
Over 1.5 14.1% 7.11
Under 1.5 85.9% 1.16
Over 2.5 2.8% 35.39
Under 2.5 97.2% 1.03
Over 3.5 0.4% 225.73
Under 3.5 99.6% 1.00
Over 4.5 0.1% 1,785.71
Under 4.5 99.9% 1.00

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 5.7% 17.57
No 94.3% 1.06

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Leicester / Draw 91.5% 1.09
Leicester / Arsenal 43.3% 2.31
Draw / Arsenal 65.2% 1.53

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
52.5
7.6
0.6
0.0
0.0
0.0
1
25.9
4.1
0.3
0.0
0.0
0.0
2
6.5
1.0
0.1
0.0
0.0
0.0
3
1.1
0.2
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
4
0.1
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
5
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: Leicester goals. Columns: Arsenal goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.