Saturday 27 August 2016, 17:00
Vicarage Road
Full time
23%
70%
7%
Home win
22.9%
Draw
70.1%
Away win
7.0%
Provisional One or both sides have too little top-flight history for the model to have a settled opinion. These numbers will move as matches are played.
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Watford | 22.9% | 4.37 | — | — |
| Draw | 70.1% | 1.43 | — | — |
| Arsenal | 7.0% | 14.34 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 31.9% | 3.13 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 68.1% | 1.47 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 5.9% | 16.96 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 94.1% | 1.06 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 0.7% | 139.08 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 99.3% | 1.01 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 0.1% | 1,470.59 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 99.9% | 1.00 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 0.0% | 20,000.00 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 100.0% | 1.00 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 2.4% | 40.85 | — | — |
| No | 97.6% | 1.03 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Watford / Draw | 93.0% | 1.07 | — | — |
| Watford / Arsenal | 29.9% | 3.35 | — | — |
| Draw / Arsenal | 77.1% | 1.30 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
68.1
|
6.5
|
0.3
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 1 |
19.5
|
2.0
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 2 |
2.8
|
0.3
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 3 |
0.3
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Mar 2022
Watford
2-3
Arsenal
Nov 2021
Arsenal
1-0
Watford
Jul 2020
Arsenal
3-2
Watford
Sep 2019
Watford
2-2
Arsenal
Apr 2019
Watford
0-1
Arsenal
Sep 2018
Arsenal
2-0
Watford
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.