Saturday 18 March 2017, 17:00
Selhurst Park
Full time
49%
24%
27%
Home win
49.1%
Draw
24.2%
Away win
26.7%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Crystal Palace | 49.1% | 2.04 | — | — |
| Draw | 24.2% | 4.13 | — | — |
| Watford | 26.7% | 3.75 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 94.9% | 1.05 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 5.1% | 19.57 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 82.2% | 1.22 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 17.8% | 5.63 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 60.0% | 1.67 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 40.0% | 2.50 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 37.6% | 2.66 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 62.4% | 1.60 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 20.3% | 4.93 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 79.7% | 1.25 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 61.3% | 1.63 | — | — |
| No | 38.7% | 2.59 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Crystal Palace / Draw | 73.3% | 1.36 | — | — |
| Crystal Palace / Watford | 75.8% | 1.32 | — | — |
| Draw / Watford | 50.9% | 1.96 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
5.1
|
5.2
|
3.7
|
1.6
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
| 1 |
7.5
|
11.1
|
6.8
|
2.9
|
0.9
|
0.2
|
| 2 |
7.4
|
9.5
|
6.1
|
2.6
|
0.9
|
0.2
|
| 3 |
4.5
|
5.8
|
3.7
|
1.6
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
| 4 |
2.0
|
2.6
|
1.7
|
0.7
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
| 5 |
0.7
|
0.9
|
0.6
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
May 2022
Crystal Palace
1-0
Watford
Feb 2022
Watford
1-4
Crystal Palace
Mar 2020
Crystal Palace
1-0
Watford
Dec 2019
Watford
0-0
Crystal Palace
Jan 2019
Crystal Palace
1-2
Watford
Aug 2018
Watford
2-1
Crystal Palace
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.