Saturday 4 March 2017, 17:00
The Hawthorns
Full time
60%
22%
18%
Home win
60.0%
Draw
22.4%
Away win
17.5%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| West Brom | 60.0% | 1.67 | — | — |
| Draw | 22.4% | 4.45 | — | — |
| Crystal Palace | 17.5% | 5.70 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 94.3% | 1.06 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 5.7% | 17.55 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 80.3% | 1.24 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 19.7% | 5.08 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 57.2% | 1.75 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 42.8% | 2.33 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 34.7% | 2.88 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 65.3% | 1.53 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 18.1% | 5.53 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 81.9% | 1.22 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 54.8% | 1.83 | — | — |
| No | 45.2% | 2.21 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| West Brom / Draw | 82.5% | 1.21 | — | — |
| West Brom / Crystal Palace | 77.6% | 1.29 | — | — |
| Draw / Crystal Palace | 40.0% | 2.50 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
5.7
|
4.4
|
2.5
|
0.8
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 1 |
9.5
|
10.6
|
4.9
|
1.6
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
| 2 |
10.1
|
10.0
|
4.9
|
1.6
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
| 3 |
6.7
|
6.6
|
3.3
|
1.1
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
| 4 |
3.3
|
3.3
|
1.6
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
1.3
|
1.3
|
0.6
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Mar 2021
Crystal Palace
1-0
West Brom
Dec 2020
West Brom
1-5
Crystal Palace
May 2018
Crystal Palace
2-0
West Brom
Dec 2017
West Brom
0-0
Crystal Palace
Aug 2016
Crystal Palace
0-1
West Brom
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.