Saturday 4 February 2017, 17:00
The Hawthorns
Full time
52%
26%
23%
Home win
51.6%
Draw
25.6%
Away win
22.8%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| West Brom | 51.6% | 1.94 | — | — |
| Draw | 25.6% | 3.91 | — | — |
| Stoke City | 22.8% | 4.39 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 92.7% | 1.08 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 7.3% | 13.78 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 76.2% | 1.31 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 23.8% | 4.21 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 51.2% | 1.95 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 48.8% | 2.05 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 29.1% | 3.44 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 70.9% | 1.41 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 14.1% | 7.11 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 85.9% | 1.16 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 53.4% | 1.87 | — | — |
| No | 46.6% | 2.14 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| West Brom / Draw | 77.2% | 1.30 | — | — |
| West Brom / Stoke City | 74.4% | 1.34 | — | — |
| Draw / Stoke City | 48.4% | 2.07 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
7.3
|
6.2
|
3.6
|
1.2
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
| 1 |
10.3
|
12.2
|
6.0
|
2.1
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
| 2 |
9.3
|
9.7
|
5.0
|
1.8
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
| 3 |
5.2
|
5.4
|
2.8
|
1.0
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
| 4 |
2.2
|
2.3
|
1.2
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.7
|
0.8
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Dec 2017
Stoke City
3-1
West Brom
Aug 2017
West Brom
1-1
Stoke City
Sep 2016
Stoke City
1-1
West Brom
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.