Saturday 31 December 2016, 17:00
St. Mary's Stadium
Full time
39%
33%
29%
Home win
38.5%
Draw
32.5%
Away win
28.9%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Southampton | 38.5% | 2.59 | — | — |
| Draw | 32.5% | 3.08 | — | — |
| West Brom | 28.9% | 3.45 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 85.3% | 1.17 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 14.7% | 6.81 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 59.5% | 1.68 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 40.5% | 2.47 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 31.7% | 3.16 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 68.3% | 1.46 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 13.8% | 7.22 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 86.2% | 1.16 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 5.0% | 19.82 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 95.0% | 1.05 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 39.9% | 2.51 | — | — |
| No | 60.1% | 1.66 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Southampton / Draw | 71.1% | 1.41 | — | — |
| Southampton / West Brom | 67.5% | 1.48 | — | — |
| Draw / West Brom | 61.5% | 1.63 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
14.7
|
11.6
|
5.6
|
1.7
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
| 1 |
14.2
|
14.2
|
6.0
|
1.8
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
| 2 |
8.1
|
7.2
|
3.2
|
1.0
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 3 |
2.9
|
2.6
|
1.2
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
0.8
|
0.7
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.2
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Apr 2021
West Brom
3-0
Southampton
Oct 2020
Southampton
2-0
West Brom
Feb 2018
West Brom
2-3
Southampton
Oct 2017
Southampton
1-0
West Brom
Apr 2017
West Brom
0-1
Southampton
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.