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Saturday 17 December 2016, 19:30 The Hawthorns Full time
42% 30% 28%
Home win
42.2%
Draw
30.1%
Away win
27.7%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
West Brom 42.2% 2.37
Draw 30.1% 3.32
Manchester United 27.7% 3.61

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 88.4% 1.13
Under 0.5 11.6% 8.64
Over 1.5 66.0% 1.52
Under 1.5 34.0% 2.94
Over 2.5 38.4% 2.60
Under 2.5 61.6% 1.62
Over 3.5 18.6% 5.38
Under 3.5 81.4% 1.23
Over 4.5 7.5% 13.27
Under 4.5 92.5% 1.08

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 45.2% 2.21
No 54.8% 1.82

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
West Brom / Draw 72.3% 1.38
West Brom / Manchester United 69.9% 1.43
Draw / Manchester United 57.8% 1.73

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
11.6
9.6
5.0
1.6
0.4
0.1
1
12.8
13.9
6.4
2.0
0.5
0.1
2
8.6
8.3
4.0
1.3
0.3
0.1
3
3.6
3.5
1.7
0.5
0.1
0.0
4
1.1
1.1
0.5
0.2
0.0
0.0
5
0.3
0.3
0.1
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: West Brom goals. Columns: Manchester United goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.