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Sunday 27 November 2016, 18:30 Old Trafford Full time
63% 22% 15%
Home win
63.3%
Draw
21.8%
Away win
14.9%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Manchester United 63.3% 1.58
Draw 21.8% 4.58
West Ham 14.9% 6.73

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 93.8% 1.07
Under 0.5 6.2% 16.12
Over 1.5 78.8% 1.27
Under 1.5 21.2% 4.72
Over 2.5 54.9% 1.82
Under 2.5 45.1% 2.22
Over 3.5 32.6% 3.07
Under 3.5 67.4% 1.48
Over 4.5 16.5% 6.06
Under 4.5 83.5% 1.20

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 50.9% 1.96
No 49.1% 2.04

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Manchester United / Draw 85.1% 1.17
Manchester United / West Ham 78.2% 1.28
Draw / West Ham 36.7% 2.72

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
6.2
4.3
2.1
0.6
0.1
0.0
1
10.7
10.4
4.3
1.2
0.3
0.0
2
11.3
9.9
4.3
1.2
0.3
0.0
3
7.6
6.6
2.9
0.8
0.2
0.0
4
3.8
3.3
1.4
0.4
0.1
0.0
5
1.5
1.3
0.6
0.2
0.0
0.0
Rows: Manchester United goals. Columns: West Ham goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.