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Monday 17 October 2016, 22:00 Anfield Full time
61% 19% 20%
Home win
61.3%
Draw
19.0%
Away win
19.7%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Liverpool 61.3% 1.63
Draw 19.0% 5.26
Manchester United 19.7% 5.08

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 97.6% 1.02
Under 0.5 2.4% 42.39
Over 1.5 90.8% 1.10
Under 1.5 9.2% 10.89
Over 2.5 75.3% 1.33
Under 2.5 24.7% 4.05
Over 3.5 55.5% 1.80
Under 3.5 44.5% 2.25
Over 4.5 36.0% 2.78
Under 4.5 64.0% 1.56

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 70.0% 1.43
No 30.0% 3.34

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Liverpool / Draw 80.3% 1.25
Liverpool / Manchester United 81.0% 1.23
Draw / Manchester United 38.7% 2.58

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
2.4
2.3
1.9
0.9
0.3
0.1
1
4.5
7.4
4.9
2.3
0.8
0.2
2
6.2
8.8
6.2
2.9
1.0
0.3
3
5.2
7.4
5.2
2.5
0.9
0.2
4
3.3
4.7
3.3
1.6
0.5
0.2
5
1.7
2.4
1.7
0.8
0.3
0.1
Rows: Liverpool goals. Columns: Manchester United goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.