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Saturday 24 September 2016, 14:30 Old Trafford Full time
Manchester United
4–1
HT 4–0
Leicester
42% 27% 31%
Home win
41.9%
Draw
26.8%
Away win
31.2%

Provisional One or both sides have too little top-flight history for the model to have a settled opinion. These numbers will move as matches are played.

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Manchester United 41.9% 2.39 — —
Draw 26.8% 3.73 — —
Leicester 31.2% 3.20 — —

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 92.8% 1.08 — —
Under 0.5 7.2% 13.95 — —
Over 1.5 76.6% 1.31 — —
Under 1.5 23.4% 4.27 — —
Over 2.5 51.6% 1.94 — —
Under 2.5 48.4% 2.07 — —
Over 3.5 29.5% 3.39 — —
Under 3.5 70.5% 1.42 — —
Over 4.5 14.3% 6.98 — —
Under 4.5 85.7% 1.17 — —

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 56.0% 1.78 — —
No 44.0% 2.27 — —

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Manchester United / Draw 68.8% 1.45 — —
Manchester United / Leicester 73.2% 1.37 — —
Draw / Leicester 58.1% 1.72 — —

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
7.2
7.4
5.1
2.1
0.7
0.2
1
8.9
12.7
7.5
3.2
1.0
0.2
2
7.1
8.9
5.6
2.3
0.7
0.2
3
3.5
4.4
2.8
1.2
0.4
0.1
4
1.3
1.6
1.0
0.4
0.1
0.0
5
0.4
0.5
0.3
0.1
0.0
0.0
Rows: Manchester United goals. Columns: Leicester goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Manchester United
W W W L L
Leicester
L D W L W

Head to head

Mar 2025 Leicester 0-3 Manchester United Nov 2024 Manchester United 3-0 Leicester Feb 2023 Manchester United 3-0 Leicester Sep 2022 Leicester 0-1 Manchester United Apr 2022 Manchester United 1-1 Leicester Oct 2021 Leicester 4-2 Manchester United

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.