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Saturday 5 November 2016, 17:00 London Stadium Full time
41% 25% 33%
Home win
41.3%
Draw
25.4%
Away win
33.3%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
West Ham 41.3% 2.42
Draw 25.4% 3.93
Stoke City 33.3% 3.01

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 94.5% 1.06
Under 0.5 5.5% 18.03
Over 1.5 81.0% 1.23
Under 1.5 19.0% 5.27
Over 2.5 58.1% 1.72
Under 2.5 41.9% 2.39
Over 3.5 35.7% 2.80
Under 3.5 64.3% 1.56
Over 4.5 18.8% 5.32
Under 4.5 81.2% 1.23

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 61.2% 1.63
No 38.8% 2.58

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
West Ham / Draw 66.7% 1.50
West Ham / Stoke City 74.6% 1.34
Draw / Stoke City 58.7% 1.70

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
5.5
6.3
4.9
2.3
0.8
0.2
1
7.2
11.8
7.9
3.7
1.3
0.4
2
6.3
8.9
6.3
3.0
1.1
0.3
3
3.3
4.7
3.4
1.6
0.6
0.2
4
1.3
1.9
1.3
0.6
0.2
0.1
5
0.4
0.6
0.4
0.2
0.1
0.0
Rows: West Ham goals. Columns: Stoke City goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.