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Saturday 22 October 2016, 17:00 London Stadium Full time
49% 25% 26%
Home win
49.2%
Draw
24.8%
Away win
26.0%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
West Ham 49.2% 2.03
Draw 24.8% 4.03
Sunderland 26.0% 3.85

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 94.2% 1.06
Under 0.5 5.8% 17.30
Over 1.5 80.3% 1.25
Under 1.5 19.7% 5.08
Over 2.5 57.0% 1.75
Under 2.5 43.0% 2.33
Over 3.5 34.6% 2.89
Under 3.5 65.4% 1.53
Over 4.5 18.0% 5.56
Under 4.5 82.0% 1.22

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 58.9% 1.70
No 41.1% 2.43

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
West Ham / Draw 74.0% 1.35
West Ham / Sunderland 75.2% 1.33
Draw / Sunderland 50.8% 1.97

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
5.8
5.6
3.8
1.6
0.5
0.1
1
8.3
11.6
6.7
2.7
0.8
0.2
2
7.9
9.6
5.8
2.4
0.7
0.2
3
4.6
5.6
3.4
1.4
0.4
0.1
4
2.0
2.5
1.5
0.6
0.2
0.0
5
0.7
0.9
0.5
0.2
0.1
0.0
Rows: West Ham goals. Columns: Sunderland goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.