Skip to content
Saturday 1 October 2016, 17:00 Stadium of Light Full time
36% 28% 36%
Home win
36.2%
Draw
28.3%
Away win
35.5%

Provisional One or both sides have too little top-flight history for the model to have a settled opinion. These numbers will move as matches are played.

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Sunderland 36.2% 2.76
Draw 28.3% 3.54
West Brom 35.5% 2.82

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 91.4% 1.09
Under 0.5 8.6% 11.57
Over 1.5 72.9% 1.37
Under 1.5 27.1% 3.69
Over 2.5 46.7% 2.14
Under 2.5 53.3% 1.88
Over 3.5 25.1% 3.98
Under 3.5 74.9% 1.34
Over 4.5 11.4% 8.74
Under 4.5 88.6% 1.13

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 52.5% 1.90
No 47.5% 2.11

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Sunderland / Draw 64.5% 1.55
Sunderland / West Brom 71.7% 1.39
Draw / West Brom 63.8% 1.57

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
8.6
9.2
6.3
2.6
0.8
0.2
1
9.3
13.5
8.0
3.4
1.1
0.3
2
6.4
8.1
5.1
2.2
0.7
0.2
3
2.7
3.5
2.2
0.9
0.3
0.1
4
0.9
1.1
0.7
0.3
0.1
0.0
5
0.2
0.3
0.2
0.1
0.0
0.0
Rows: Sunderland goals. Columns: West Brom goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.