Sunday 28 August 2016, 15:30
The Hawthorns
Full time
59%
14%
27%
Home win
59.4%
Draw
13.9%
Away win
26.6%
Provisional One or both sides have too little top-flight history for the model to have a settled opinion. These numbers will move as matches are played.
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| West Brom | 59.4% | 1.68 | — | — |
| Draw | 13.9% | 7.17 | — | — |
| Middlesbrough | 26.6% | 3.76 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 99.9% | 1.00 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 0.1% | 833.33 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 99.5% | 1.01 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 0.5% | 196.46 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 97.6% | 1.02 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 2.4% | 42.27 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 93.2% | 1.07 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 6.8% | 14.80 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 85.2% | 1.17 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 14.8% | 6.77 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 94.0% | 1.06 | — | — |
| No | 6.0% | 16.69 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| West Brom / Draw | 73.4% | 1.36 | — | — |
| West Brom / Middlesbrough | 86.1% | 1.16 | — | — |
| Draw / Middlesbrough | 40.6% | 2.47 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
0.1
|
0.2
|
0.3
|
0.3
|
0.2
|
0.2
|
| 1 |
0.2
|
0.9
|
1.3
|
1.4
|
1.1
|
0.6
|
| 2 |
0.6
|
1.9
|
2.9
|
2.9
|
2.2
|
1.4
|
| 3 |
0.9
|
2.6
|
4.0
|
4.1
|
3.2
|
1.9
|
| 4 |
0.9
|
2.8
|
4.3
|
4.4
|
3.3
|
2.1
|
| 5 |
0.8
|
2.4
|
3.6
|
3.7
|
2.8
|
1.7
|
Form
Head to head
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.