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Sunday 21 August 2016, 15:30 Stadium of Light Full time
10% 78% 12%
Home win
9.7%
Draw
77.9%
Away win
12.3%

Provisional One or both sides have too little top-flight history for the model to have a settled opinion. These numbers will move as matches are played.

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Sunderland 9.7% 10.27
Draw 77.9% 1.28
Middlesbrough 12.3% 8.11

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 23.5% 4.25
Under 0.5 76.5% 1.31
Over 1.5 3.1% 32.08
Under 1.5 96.9% 1.03
Over 2.5 0.3% 375.94
Under 2.5 99.7% 1.00
Over 3.5 0.0% 5,555.56
Under 3.5 100.0% 1.00
Over 4.5 0.0% 100,000.00
Under 4.5 100.0% 1.00

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 1.6% 60.64
No 98.4% 1.02

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Sunderland / Draw 87.7% 1.14
Sunderland / Middlesbrough 22.1% 4.53
Draw / Middlesbrough 90.3% 1.11

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
76.5
11.3
0.9
0.0
0.0
0.0
1
9.1
1.5
0.1
0.0
0.0
0.0
2
0.5
0.1
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
3
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
4
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
5
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: Sunderland goals. Columns: Middlesbrough goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.