Wednesday 26 April 2017, 21:45
Riverside
Full time
44%
33%
23%
Home win
43.7%
Draw
33.4%
Away win
22.9%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Middlesbrough | 43.7% | 2.29 | — | — |
| Draw | 33.4% | 2.99 | — | — |
| Sunderland | 22.9% | 4.37 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 82.9% | 1.21 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 17.1% | 5.85 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 54.8% | 1.82 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 45.2% | 2.21 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 27.3% | 3.67 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 72.7% | 1.37 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 11.1% | 9.04 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 88.9% | 1.12 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 3.7% | 26.82 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 96.3% | 1.04 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 34.8% | 2.88 | — | — |
| No | 65.2% | 1.53 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Middlesbrough / Draw | 77.1% | 1.30 | — | — |
| Middlesbrough / Sunderland | 66.6% | 1.50 | — | — |
| Draw / Sunderland | 56.3% | 1.78 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
17.1
|
10.9
|
4.2
|
1.0
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 1 |
17.2
|
13.6
|
4.6
|
1.1
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 2 |
9.9
|
7.0
|
2.5
|
0.6
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 3 |
3.6
|
2.6
|
0.9
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
1.0
|
0.7
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.2
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.