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Saturday 8 April 2017, 17:00 Riverside Full time
35% 35% 30%
Home win
34.9%
Draw
35.2%
Away win
29.9%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Middlesbrough 34.9% 2.87
Draw 35.2% 2.84
Burnley 29.9% 3.34

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 81.5% 1.23
Under 0.5 18.5% 5.41
Over 1.5 52.5% 1.91
Under 1.5 47.5% 2.10
Over 2.5 25.1% 3.98
Under 2.5 74.9% 1.34
Over 3.5 9.8% 10.19
Under 3.5 90.2% 1.11
Over 4.5 3.2% 31.50
Under 4.5 96.8% 1.03

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 34.3% 2.92
No 65.7% 1.52

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Middlesbrough / Draw 70.1% 1.43
Middlesbrough / Burnley 64.8% 1.54
Draw / Burnley 65.1% 1.54

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
18.5
13.7
6.0
1.6
0.3
0.1
1
15.3
14.0
5.4
1.5
0.3
0.1
2
7.3
6.0
2.5
0.7
0.1
0.0
3
2.2
1.8
0.8
0.2
0.0
0.0
4
0.5
0.4
0.2
0.0
0.0
0.0
5
0.1
0.1
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: Middlesbrough goals. Columns: Burnley goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.