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Sunday 2 April 2017, 15:30 Liberty Stadium Full time
42% 30% 28%
Home win
42.4%
Draw
30.0%
Away win
27.6%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Swansea 42.4% 2.36
Draw 30.0% 3.33
Middlesbrough 27.6% 3.62

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 88.6% 1.13
Under 0.5 11.4% 8.74
Over 1.5 66.3% 1.51
Under 1.5 33.7% 2.96
Over 2.5 38.8% 2.58
Under 2.5 61.2% 1.63
Over 3.5 18.8% 5.31
Under 3.5 81.2% 1.23
Over 4.5 7.7% 13.03
Under 4.5 92.3% 1.08

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 45.4% 2.20
No 54.6% 1.83

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Swansea / Draw 72.4% 1.38
Swansea / Middlesbrough 70.0% 1.43
Draw / Middlesbrough 57.6% 1.74

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
11.4
9.6
5.0
1.6
0.4
0.1
1
12.7
13.9
6.4
2.1
0.5
0.1
2
8.6
8.3
4.0
1.3
0.3
0.1
3
3.6
3.5
1.7
0.6
0.1
0.0
4
1.1
1.1
0.5
0.2
0.0
0.0
5
0.3
0.3
0.1
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: Swansea goals. Columns: Middlesbrough goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.