Sunday 19 March 2017, 14:00
Riverside
Full time
21%
37%
42%
Home win
21.4%
Draw
36.7%
Away win
41.9%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Middlesbrough | 21.4% | 4.67 | — | — |
| Draw | 36.7% | 2.73 | — | — |
| Manchester United | 41.9% | 2.39 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 77.9% | 1.28 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 22.1% | 4.52 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 46.3% | 2.16 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 53.7% | 1.86 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 20.2% | 4.96 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 79.8% | 1.25 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 7.1% | 14.09 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 92.9% | 1.08 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 2.1% | 48.52 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 97.9% | 1.02 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 28.1% | 3.55 | — | — |
| No | 71.9% | 1.39 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Middlesbrough / Draw | 58.1% | 1.72 | — | — |
| Middlesbrough / Manchester United | 63.3% | 1.58 | — | — |
| Draw / Manchester United | 78.6% | 1.27 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
22.1
|
19.6
|
9.6
|
3.0
|
0.7
|
0.1
|
| 1 |
12.0
|
12.8
|
5.7
|
1.8
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
| 2 |
3.8
|
3.6
|
1.7
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 3 |
0.7
|
0.7
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
0.1
|
0.1
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.