Saturday 4 March 2017, 14:30
Old Trafford
Full time
69%
19%
12%
Home win
68.9%
Draw
19.4%
Away win
11.7%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Manchester United | 68.9% | 1.45 | — | — |
| Draw | 19.4% | 5.15 | — | — |
| Bournemouth | 11.7% | 8.55 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 94.6% | 1.06 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 5.4% | 18.39 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 80.8% | 1.24 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 19.2% | 5.21 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 58.0% | 1.73 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 42.0% | 2.38 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 35.6% | 2.81 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 64.4% | 1.55 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 18.7% | 5.35 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 81.3% | 1.23 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 49.7% | 2.01 | — | — |
| No | 50.3% | 1.99 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Manchester United / Draw | 88.3% | 1.13 | — | — |
| Manchester United / Bournemouth | 80.6% | 1.24 | — | — |
| Draw / Bournemouth | 31.1% | 3.21 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
5.4
|
3.4
|
1.6
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 1 |
10.3
|
9.3
|
3.5
|
0.9
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 2 |
12.0
|
9.6
|
3.9
|
1.0
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 3 |
8.8
|
7.1
|
2.9
|
0.8
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
4.9
|
3.9
|
1.6
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
2.2
|
1.7
|
0.7
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Mar 2026
Bournemouth
2-2
Manchester United
Dec 2025
Manchester United
4-4
Bournemouth
Apr 2025
Bournemouth
1-1
Manchester United
Dec 2024
Manchester United
0-3
Bournemouth
Apr 2024
Bournemouth
2-2
Manchester United
Dec 2023
Manchester United
0-3
Bournemouth
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.