Saturday 4 February 2017, 17:00
Goodison Park
Full time
63%
21%
15%
Home win
63.4%
Draw
21.3%
Away win
15.3%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Everton | 63.4% | 1.58 | — | — |
| Draw | 21.3% | 4.69 | — | — |
| Bournemouth | 15.3% | 6.54 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 94.5% | 1.06 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 5.5% | 18.21 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 80.8% | 1.24 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 19.2% | 5.22 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 57.9% | 1.73 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 42.1% | 2.38 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 35.5% | 2.81 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 64.5% | 1.55 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 18.7% | 5.36 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 81.3% | 1.23 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 53.5% | 1.87 | — | — |
| No | 46.5% | 2.15 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Everton / Draw | 84.7% | 1.18 | — | — |
| Everton / Bournemouth | 78.7% | 1.27 | — | — |
| Draw / Bournemouth | 36.6% | 2.73 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
5.5
|
4.0
|
2.1
|
0.7
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 1 |
9.7
|
10.1
|
4.4
|
1.4
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
| 2 |
10.7
|
9.9
|
4.6
|
1.4
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
| 3 |
7.4
|
6.9
|
3.2
|
1.0
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
3.9
|
3.6
|
1.7
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
1.6
|
1.5
|
0.7
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Feb 2026
Everton
1-2
Bournemouth
Dec 2025
Bournemouth
0-1
Everton
Jan 2025
Bournemouth
1-0
Everton
Aug 2024
Everton
2-3
Bournemouth
Mar 2024
Bournemouth
2-1
Everton
Oct 2023
Everton
3-0
Bournemouth
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.