Saturday 31 December 2016, 17:00
Liberty Stadium
Full time
37%
24%
39%
Home win
37.0%
Draw
23.6%
Away win
39.4%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Swansea | 37.0% | 2.70 | — | — |
| Draw | 23.6% | 4.24 | — | — |
| Bournemouth | 39.4% | 2.54 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 96.3% | 1.04 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 3.7% | 26.85 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 86.5% | 1.16 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 13.5% | 7.40 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 67.1% | 1.49 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 32.9% | 3.04 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 45.4% | 2.20 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 54.6% | 1.83 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 26.6% | 3.76 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 73.4% | 1.36 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 68.2% | 1.47 | — | — |
| No | 31.8% | 3.14 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Swansea / Draw | 60.6% | 1.65 | — | — |
| Swansea / Bournemouth | 76.4% | 1.31 | — | — |
| Draw / Bournemouth | 63.0% | 1.59 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
3.7
|
5.0
|
4.9
|
2.9
|
1.3
|
0.4
|
| 1 |
4.8
|
10.0
|
8.3
|
4.8
|
2.1
|
0.7
|
| 2 |
4.6
|
8.0
|
7.0
|
4.1
|
1.8
|
0.6
|
| 3 |
2.6
|
4.5
|
4.0
|
2.3
|
1.0
|
0.4
|
| 4 |
1.1
|
1.9
|
1.7
|
1.0
|
0.4
|
0.2
|
| 5 |
0.4
|
0.7
|
0.6
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.1
|
Form
Head to head
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.