Saturday 5 May 2018, 17:00
Vitality Stadium
Full time
52%
25%
23%
Home win
52.2%
Draw
25.3%
Away win
22.5%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bournemouth | 52.2% | 1.92 | — | — |
| Draw | 25.3% | 3.95 | — | — |
| Swansea | 22.5% | 4.44 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 93.0% | 1.08 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 7.0% | 14.23 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 76.8% | 1.30 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 23.2% | 4.32 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 52.0% | 1.92 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 48.0% | 2.08 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 29.9% | 3.35 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 70.1% | 1.43 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 14.6% | 6.86 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 85.4% | 1.17 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 53.9% | 1.86 | — | — |
| No | 46.1% | 2.17 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bournemouth / Draw | 77.5% | 1.29 | — | — |
| Bournemouth / Swansea | 74.7% | 1.34 | — | — |
| Draw / Swansea | 47.8% | 2.09 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
7.0
|
6.0
|
3.5
|
1.2
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
| 1 |
10.2
|
12.0
|
6.0
|
2.1
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
| 2 |
9.3
|
9.7
|
5.1
|
1.8
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
| 3 |
5.3
|
5.5
|
2.9
|
1.0
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
| 4 |
2.3
|
2.4
|
1.2
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.8
|
0.8
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.