Saturday 31 March 2018, 17:00
Old Trafford
Full time
74%
18%
7%
Home win
74.2%
Draw
18.4%
Away win
7.5%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Manchester United | 74.2% | 1.35 | — | — |
| Draw | 18.4% | 5.44 | — | — |
| Swansea | 7.5% | 13.41 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 92.5% | 1.08 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 7.5% | 13.40 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 74.9% | 1.34 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 25.1% | 3.98 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 49.7% | 2.01 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 50.3% | 1.99 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 27.7% | 3.60 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 72.3% | 1.38 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 13.1% | 7.61 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 86.9% | 1.15 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 36.8% | 2.72 | — | — |
| No | 63.2% | 1.58 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Manchester United / Draw | 92.5% | 1.08 | — | — |
| Manchester United / Swansea | 81.6% | 1.23 | — | — |
| Draw / Swansea | 25.8% | 3.87 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
7.5
|
3.2
|
1.0
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 1 |
14.4
|
8.4
|
2.1
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 2 |
15.8
|
8.4
|
2.2
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 3 |
11.2
|
6.0
|
1.6
|
0.3
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
6.0
|
3.2
|
0.8
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
2.6
|
1.4
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Aug 2017
Swansea
0-4
Manchester United
Apr 2017
Manchester United
1-1
Swansea
Nov 2016
Swansea
1-3
Manchester United
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.