Sunday 11 February 2018, 16:15
St James' Park
Full time
16%
28%
56%
Home win
15.9%
Draw
28.3%
Away win
55.7%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Newcastle | 15.9% | 6.29 | — | — |
| Draw | 28.3% | 3.53 | — | — |
| Manchester United | 55.7% | 1.79 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 86.8% | 1.15 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 13.2% | 7.60 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 62.3% | 1.61 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 37.7% | 2.65 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 34.5% | 2.90 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 65.5% | 1.53 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 15.8% | 6.33 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 84.2% | 1.19 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 6.0% | 16.58 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 94.0% | 1.06 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 36.8% | 2.71 | — | — |
| No | 63.2% | 1.58 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Newcastle / Draw | 44.3% | 2.26 | — | — |
| Newcastle / Manchester United | 71.7% | 1.40 | — | — |
| Draw / Manchester United | 84.1% | 1.19 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
13.2
|
17.3
|
12.9
|
6.2
|
2.2
|
0.6
|
| 1 |
7.3
|
12.2
|
8.3
|
4.0
|
1.4
|
0.4
|
| 2 |
2.6
|
3.7
|
2.7
|
1.3
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
| 3 |
0.6
|
0.8
|
0.6
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
0.1
|
0.1
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Mar 2026
Newcastle
2-1
Manchester United
Dec 2025
Manchester United
1-0
Newcastle
Apr 2025
Newcastle
4-1
Manchester United
Dec 2024
Manchester United
0-2
Newcastle
May 2024
Manchester United
3-2
Newcastle
Dec 2023
Newcastle
1-0
Manchester United
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.