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Wednesday 31 January 2018, 22:00 Wembley Stadium Full time
45% 30% 25%
Home win
45.0%
Draw
29.6%
Away win
25.4%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Tottenham 45.0% 2.22
Draw 29.6% 3.38
Manchester United 25.4% 3.93

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 88.6% 1.13
Under 0.5 11.4% 8.81
Over 1.5 66.4% 1.51
Under 1.5 33.6% 2.98
Over 2.5 39.0% 2.57
Under 2.5 61.0% 1.64
Over 3.5 19.0% 5.27
Under 3.5 81.0% 1.23
Over 4.5 7.8% 12.89
Under 4.5 92.2% 1.08

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 45.0% 2.22
No 55.0% 1.82

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Tottenham / Draw 74.6% 1.34
Tottenham / Manchester United 70.4% 1.42
Draw / Manchester United 55.0% 1.82

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
11.4
9.0
4.5
1.4
0.3
0.1
1
13.2
13.7
6.0
1.8
0.4
0.1
2
9.2
8.5
4.0
1.2
0.3
0.1
3
4.1
3.8
1.7
0.5
0.1
0.0
4
1.3
1.2
0.6
0.2
0.0
0.0
5
0.4
0.3
0.2
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: Tottenham goals. Columns: Manchester United goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.