Sunday 21 January 2018, 18:00
St. Mary's Stadium
Full time
15%
24%
61%
Home win
14.9%
Draw
23.9%
Away win
61.1%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Southampton | 14.9% | 6.69 | — | — |
| Draw | 23.9% | 4.18 | — | — |
| Tottenham | 61.1% | 1.64 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 91.6% | 1.09 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 8.4% | 11.93 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 73.1% | 1.37 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 26.9% | 3.72 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 47.1% | 2.12 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 52.9% | 1.89 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 25.5% | 3.92 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 74.5% | 1.34 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 11.7% | 8.57 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 88.3% | 1.13 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 45.3% | 2.21 | — | — |
| No | 54.7% | 1.83 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Southampton / Draw | 38.9% | 2.57 | — | — |
| Southampton / Tottenham | 76.1% | 1.31 | — | — |
| Draw / Tottenham | 85.1% | 1.18 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
8.4
|
13.2
|
12.4
|
7.4
|
3.3
|
1.2
|
| 1 |
5.3
|
11.3
|
9.5
|
5.7
|
2.5
|
0.9
|
| 2 |
2.3
|
4.1
|
3.7
|
2.2
|
1.0
|
0.4
|
| 3 |
0.6
|
1.0
|
0.9
|
0.6
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
| 4 |
0.1
|
0.2
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Apr 2025
Tottenham
3-1
Southampton
Dec 2024
Southampton
0-5
Tottenham
Mar 2023
Southampton
3-3
Tottenham
Aug 2022
Tottenham
4-1
Southampton
Feb 2022
Tottenham
2-3
Southampton
Dec 2021
Southampton
1-1
Tottenham
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.