Saturday 30 December 2017, 19:30
Old Trafford
Full time
68%
22%
10%
Home win
68.2%
Draw
21.9%
Away win
9.9%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Manchester United | 68.2% | 1.47 | — | — |
| Draw | 21.9% | 4.56 | — | — |
| Southampton | 9.9% | 10.08 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 90.7% | 1.10 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 9.3% | 10.73 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 70.5% | 1.42 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 29.5% | 3.39 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 43.9% | 2.28 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 56.1% | 1.78 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 22.9% | 4.37 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 77.1% | 1.30 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 10.0% | 9.97 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 90.0% | 1.11 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 37.1% | 2.69 | — | — |
| No | 62.9% | 1.59 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Manchester United / Draw | 90.1% | 1.11 | — | — |
| Manchester United / Southampton | 78.1% | 1.28 | — | — |
| Draw / Southampton | 31.8% | 3.14 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
9.3
|
4.4
|
1.4
|
0.3
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 1 |
15.8
|
9.8
|
2.6
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 2 |
15.3
|
8.7
|
2.5
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 3 |
9.5
|
5.4
|
1.5
|
0.3
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
4.4
|
2.5
|
0.7
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
1.7
|
0.9
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Jan 2025
Manchester United
3-1
Southampton
Sep 2024
Southampton
0-3
Manchester United
Mar 2023
Manchester United
0-0
Southampton
Aug 2022
Southampton
0-1
Manchester United
Feb 2022
Manchester United
1-1
Southampton
Aug 2021
Southampton
1-1
Manchester United
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.