Wednesday 13 December 2017, 21:45
St. Mary's Stadium
Full time
41%
29%
30%
Home win
41.5%
Draw
28.8%
Away win
29.7%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Southampton | 41.5% | 2.41 | — | — |
| Draw | 28.8% | 3.47 | — | — |
| Leicester | 29.7% | 3.36 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 90.4% | 1.11 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 9.6% | 10.38 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 70.4% | 1.42 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 29.6% | 3.38 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 43.6% | 2.29 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 56.4% | 1.77 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 22.6% | 4.42 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 77.4% | 1.29 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 9.9% | 10.11 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 90.1% | 1.11 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 49.7% | 2.01 | — | — |
| No | 50.3% | 1.99 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Southampton / Draw | 70.3% | 1.42 | — | — |
| Southampton / Leicester | 71.2% | 1.40 | — | — |
| Draw / Leicester | 58.5% | 1.71 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
9.6
|
8.9
|
5.3
|
1.9
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
| 1 |
11.0
|
13.7
|
7.0
|
2.6
|
0.7
|
0.2
|
| 2 |
7.9
|
8.6
|
4.7
|
1.7
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
| 3 |
3.5
|
3.8
|
2.1
|
0.8
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
1.2
|
1.3
|
0.7
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.3
|
0.3
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
May 2025
Leicester
2-0
Southampton
Oct 2024
Southampton
2-3
Leicester
Mar 2023
Southampton
1-0
Leicester
Aug 2022
Leicester
1-2
Southampton
May 2022
Leicester
4-1
Southampton
Dec 2021
Southampton
2-2
Leicester
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.