Sunday 3 December 2017, 15:30
Vitality Stadium
Full time
44%
29%
27%
Home win
44.2%
Draw
28.9%
Away win
27.0%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bournemouth | 44.2% | 2.26 | — | — |
| Draw | 28.9% | 3.47 | — | — |
| Southampton | 27.0% | 3.71 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 89.9% | 1.11 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 10.1% | 9.89 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 69.3% | 1.44 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 30.7% | 3.26 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 42.3% | 2.37 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 57.7% | 1.73 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 21.5% | 4.65 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 78.5% | 1.27 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 9.2% | 10.84 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 90.8% | 1.10 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 48.0% | 2.08 | — | — |
| No | 52.0% | 1.92 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bournemouth / Draw | 73.0% | 1.37 | — | — |
| Bournemouth / Southampton | 71.1% | 1.41 | — | — |
| Draw / Southampton | 55.8% | 1.79 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
10.1
|
8.6
|
4.7
|
1.6
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
| 1 |
12.0
|
13.6
|
6.5
|
2.2
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
| 2 |
8.7
|
8.7
|
4.4
|
1.5
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
| 3 |
3.9
|
4.0
|
2.0
|
0.7
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
1.3
|
1.4
|
0.7
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.4
|
0.4
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Feb 2025
Southampton
1-3
Bournemouth
Sep 2024
Bournemouth
3-1
Southampton
Apr 2023
Southampton
0-1
Bournemouth
Oct 2022
Bournemouth
0-1
Southampton
Jul 2020
Bournemouth
0-2
Southampton
Sep 2019
Southampton
1-3
Bournemouth
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.