Saturday 18 November 2017, 17:00
Anfield
Full time
66%
21%
13%
Home win
65.8%
Draw
21.2%
Away win
13.0%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Liverpool | 65.8% | 1.52 | — | — |
| Draw | 21.2% | 4.73 | — | — |
| Southampton | 13.0% | 7.69 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 93.6% | 1.07 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 6.4% | 15.54 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 78.1% | 1.28 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 21.9% | 4.56 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 53.9% | 1.85 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 46.1% | 2.17 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 31.6% | 3.16 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 68.4% | 1.46 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 15.8% | 6.33 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 84.2% | 1.19 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 48.3% | 2.07 | — | — |
| No | 51.7% | 1.93 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Liverpool / Draw | 87.0% | 1.15 | — | — |
| Liverpool / Southampton | 78.8% | 1.27 | — | — |
| Draw / Southampton | 34.2% | 2.93 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
6.4
|
4.1
|
1.9
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 1 |
11.4
|
10.1
|
3.8
|
1.0
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 2 |
12.2
|
9.7
|
3.9
|
1.0
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 3 |
8.3
|
6.6
|
2.6
|
0.7
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
4.2
|
3.4
|
1.3
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
1.7
|
1.4
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Mar 2025
Liverpool
3-1
Southampton
Nov 2024
Southampton
2-3
Liverpool
May 2023
Southampton
4-4
Liverpool
Nov 2022
Liverpool
3-1
Southampton
May 2022
Southampton
1-2
Liverpool
Nov 2021
Liverpool
4-0
Southampton
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.