Saturday 21 October 2017, 19:30
St. Mary's Stadium
Full time
41%
32%
27%
Home win
40.8%
Draw
32.2%
Away win
27.0%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Southampton | 40.8% | 2.45 | — | — |
| Draw | 32.2% | 3.11 | — | — |
| West Brom | 27.0% | 3.70 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 85.5% | 1.17 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 14.5% | 6.92 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 59.9% | 1.67 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 40.1% | 2.50 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 32.1% | 3.12 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 67.9% | 1.47 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 14.1% | 7.08 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 85.9% | 1.16 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 5.2% | 19.30 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 94.8% | 1.05 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 39.9% | 2.51 | — | — |
| No | 60.1% | 1.66 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Southampton / Draw | 73.0% | 1.37 | — | — |
| Southampton / West Brom | 67.8% | 1.47 | — | — |
| Draw / West Brom | 59.2% | 1.69 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
14.5
|
11.0
|
5.1
|
1.5
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
| 1 |
14.6
|
14.1
|
5.7
|
1.7
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
| 2 |
8.7
|
7.5
|
3.2
|
0.9
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 3 |
3.3
|
2.8
|
1.2
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
0.9
|
0.8
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.2
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Apr 2021
West Brom
3-0
Southampton
Oct 2020
Southampton
2-0
West Brom
Feb 2018
West Brom
2-3
Southampton
Apr 2017
West Brom
0-1
Southampton
Dec 2016
Southampton
1-2
West Brom
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.