Saturday 9 September 2017, 17:00
St. Mary's Stadium
Full time
51%
28%
21%
Home win
51.4%
Draw
27.6%
Away win
20.9%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Southampton | 51.4% | 1.94 | — | — |
| Draw | 27.6% | 3.62 | — | — |
| Watford | 20.9% | 4.77 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 89.9% | 1.11 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 10.1% | 9.89 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 69.1% | 1.45 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 30.9% | 3.24 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 42.1% | 2.37 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 57.9% | 1.73 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 21.4% | 4.67 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 78.6% | 1.27 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 9.2% | 10.91 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 90.8% | 1.10 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 45.7% | 2.19 | — | — |
| No | 54.3% | 1.84 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Southampton / Draw | 79.1% | 1.26 | — | — |
| Southampton / Watford | 72.4% | 1.38 | — | — |
| Draw / Watford | 48.6% | 2.06 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
10.1
|
7.4
|
3.5
|
1.0
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 1 |
13.4
|
12.9
|
5.3
|
1.5
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
| 2 |
10.6
|
9.1
|
4.0
|
1.1
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 3 |
5.3
|
4.6
|
2.0
|
0.6
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
2.0
|
1.7
|
0.7
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.6
|
0.5
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Mar 2022
Southampton
1-2
Watford
Oct 2021
Watford
0-1
Southampton
Jun 2020
Watford
1-3
Southampton
Nov 2019
Southampton
2-1
Watford
Apr 2019
Watford
1-1
Southampton
Nov 2018
Southampton
1-1
Watford
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.